Lindsay Tried To Refinance His Existing Mortgage, But His Bank Was Unwilling.

Jun 19, 2018

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Mostly, however, authorities impose restrictions in an attempt to rein in run-away property prices, particularly in major coastal cities. The latest round of tightening started in late 2016 after the property market experienced a strong rebound, with policies ranging from home purchase restrictions, to a price cap on new developments, to tightening credit available to home buyers as well as developers. Annual growth in the market has since slowed from over 30% to low single-digits. We see no sign of policy relaxation in the near future as Chinese authorities are determined to prevent property prices from rising too fast. As a result, we expect a gradual slowdown in China's property market in 2018. We view a near-term market crash as highly unlikely given inventory is close to record lows and the government has plenty of room for policy relaxation. Investment implications: Sector consolidation provides opportunities Despite recent government efforts to rebalance China's economy by stimulating domestic consumption and supporting high-tech innovations, property remains the most important sector in terms of its contribution to GDP growth. We estimate China's property market to be worth around US$22 trillion, approximately 1.8 times the size of its GDP in 2017. The most noteworthy trend in the sector over the last few years has been accelerating consolidation.

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America is house-rich but cash-poor  and these businesses see opportunity

The couple and their two sons lived in a rambling Spanish-style house at the end of a cul-de-sac in Orange County, Calif. Soon after Vanessa’s death, Mike Lindsay found himself with medical bills and child-care costs that he called “devastating.” Between credit cards and friends who’d offered help, he owed thousands of dollars. “I always felt it would all turn around,” Lindsay said. He just wasn’t sure how. The surest bet seemed to be the house, which was appraised at $1.2 million, and in which he had about $500,000 of equity. Lindsay tried to refinance his existing mortgage, but his bank was unwilling. He’d already done one loan modification, after losing his job. And his debt-to-income ratio put a new mortgage out of reach. The very same day Lindsay learned he wouldn’t qualify for a refinance, help arrived.

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