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Jul 21, 2018

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Trump's 'fire and fury' to provoke North Korea to stay on nuke course

Added Reif, "And that in my view increases the risk of miscalculation and potential conflict — and just reinforces the North Korean regime's view that its nuclear weapons are absolutely necessary and it needs to continue on its current course." "The more we threaten North Korea … the more it will convince Kim Jong Un and the regime that they need to continue to pursue and augment their nuclear capabilities," said Reif. North Korea's nuclear ambitions date back to the 1950s under the communist regime's first leader, Kim Il Sung, who received help from the former Soviet Union. The first nuclear test was conducted in 2006, and a Tuesday report from the Washington Post said the Defense Intelligence Agency believes the dynastic regime now has "up to 60 nuclear weapons" in its arsenal. Still, where denuclearization may be possible is if the North Korean regime gets a peace treaty to replace the armistice agreement that has been in place since the Korean War. That new agreement would have assurances to protect the Kim regime. "If the United States were to ever try to conduct regime change against North Korea, they know that the North Koreans would launch every nuclear weapon they have," said Kazianis. To be sure, the state-run North Korean media also color the threat of regime change with frequent outbursts and nationalistic messages. For example, last month when Central Intelligence Agency Director Mike Pompeo suggested that the North Korean people "would love to see" regime change the Pyongyang state-run media threatened that they could hit "the heart of the U.S." with a nuclear warhead. North Korean media also has referred to previous examples of leaders who gave up nuclear weapons.

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